The Roar’s State of Origin expert tips and predictions: NSW vs Queensland



The first week of June usually means Origin for rugby league fans across the country.

Madge against Slater, Haas against Carrigan, brutal contests sure to ignite ferocity and a bit of controversy on and off the field.

On paper, the Origin 2024 series looks like a classic stalemate, helped by high-stakes storylines such as Selwyn Cobbo’s 17th role and the late inclusion of former Blues captain James Tedesco.

Kick-off on Wednesday night is at 8:05pm (AEDT), at Accor Stadium, Sydney. The Blues are hungry to win their first series in three years, as Billy Slater strives to keep his unbeaten record in the series intact.

To provide an insight into the minds at The Roar, our roaring rugby league experts have offered their advice and insights on tactics and standout players for the series opener.

Michael Hagan (former Maroons coach)

Queensland for 4

First try scorer: Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow

Man of the match: Reece Walsh

Queensland has more experience in key positions and I think Reece Walsh will have a big influence on QLD’s performance.

Paul Suttor (The Roar Expert)

Blues for 2

First try scorer: Brian To’o

Man of the match: Payne Haas

There is a sense of extra drive in the NSW team at the moment. Michael Maguire says he won’t change his lineup, but it wouldn’t be a surprise if a bigger body starts the match ahead of Cameron McInnes, whether it’s Isaah Yeo or Spencer Leniu. Queensland rely heavily on Reece Walsh in attack, but the Blues have a solid defense on both sides of the ruck that has the pace and experience to handle his incisions.

Mary Konstantopoulos (Ladies League)

Blue at 12

First try scorer: Joseph Suaalii

Man of the match: James Tedesco

James Tedesco’s return to this Blues team is one of the biggest team changes in Origin history. From being dropped as captain to being called up with an injury alone, just like his form with the Roosters, I expect a big game from him. He has something to prove and will remind us why he has been the best Blues player in decades.

Tim Gore (The Roar Expert)

Queensland for 8

First try scorer: Xavier Coates

Man of the match: Patrick Carrigan

NSW may be at home, but they have plenty of debutants and players with minimal home experience in their team. And Queensland has the best spine players, with DCE leading the way.

Pat Carrigan was born for Origin and I expect him to lead the Maroon pack to dominate the Blues forwards through his tireless efforts in attack and defence.

Stuart Thomas (The Roar Expert)

Queensland by 18

First Try Scorer: Cameron McInnes

Man of the match: Ben Hunt

In what looks like a somewhat strange Origin fixture considering the Blues’ absent quality, the Queenslanders will win at a canter. Tedesco set up the upset with a series of errors, missed tackles and poor decisions, with Walsh and Tabuai-Fidow scoring five tries.
among them. You heard it here first.

Stirling Taylor (The Roar Expert)

Blues by 10

First try scorer: Brian To’o

Man of the match: Nicholas Hynes

The Blues may not have the best halves, but there is a sense of mystery to their new backline that has the ability to surprise. Jarome Luai switched off his boombox in the Blue Mountains and looks a little more mature at Origin 2024. I love the appointment of Jake Trbojevic as captain, although he is not a flashy player, a traditional tackle who wears his heart on his sleeve. It seems that New South Wales has a certain “spirit” this year.

AJ Mithen (The Roar Expert)

Blue at 14

First Try Scorer: Stephen Crichton

Man of the match: Angus Crichton

I know it’s difficult to face Queensland, but I can’t beat the Blues in the first game, no matter how skilled the maroon defense seems. Madge Maguire has put together a team with similar approaches and approaches, which is very important for Origin. I think they will be a little more forward-focused than Freddie Fittler’s teams and that will be the difference.

Nick Wasiliev (The Roar Expert)

Blues for 4

First Down Scorer: Jeremiah Nanai

Man of the match: Jake Trbojevic

I’m really bad at choosing home state, so this will be fun! This whole period of the season always baffles me – just look at my NRL tips from the weekend!

Anyway, despite the song and dance in the media, I am rooting for the home team in a way very Close game, even to the point where I think Queensland will score first. Slater’s team is the more stable team but honestly, Maguire and the team won’t mind being discarded – it takes a lot of pressure off them and gives them the element of surprise.
Since Accor Stadium is their statistically strongest stadium, I’m going to pull off a surprise home win; Whether they win the series is another question.

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