Tips for Saturday: Four horses to watch on Lockinge Stakes day at Newbury | Racing news

On Saturday’s Group 1 Lockinge Stakes card at Newbury, live on Sky Sports Racing, Declan Rix presents four horses to watch…

salt bay

1.50 – Sky Sports Racing Aston Park Stakes (Group Three)

The likely favorite Desert Hero will obviously take a beating, as his 11/8 price suggests. There is a lot to like about a horse who progressed very well as a three-year-old last year, finishing his season with a solid third place in the St Leger.

Son of Sea The Stars, owned by The King and Queen and trained by William Haggas, he has a sexy profile, but his form does not allow him to be as short against the likes of Middle Earth and Salt Bay.

A significantly dry soil would go against the possibilities of salt bay, but since he’s having a run this season, he looks like a better value bet against the favorite; Considering raw capacity, what we’ve seen so far, there’s not much separating them.

At max performance, I have Desert Hero at 110+, Salt Bay 108+, and Middle Earth 105p. Given the prices of 11/8 vs 6/1 vs 7/2, respectively, he would have Salt Bay shorter, especially given his career-best effort at this course and distance 28 days ago.

His return in the John Porter Stakes, both in form and appearance, was satisfactory, at a time when we must not forget that Ralph Beckett’s horses were not firing. As an athlete of good size and substance, along with his pedigree, he should be better this season and for his debut in 2024.

Let’s hope the ground doesn’t dry out too much and he doesn’t fall too far behind at the beginning of a race without rhythm.

Goodwood Odyssey

3.00 Trade Nation London Gold Cup Handicap

While the Aston Park Stakes could be quite tactical, the London Gold Cup has the makings of a race that could be run at a good gallop, perhaps even hard.

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Goodwood Odyssey

That will suit the sweet travelers. Goodwood Odyssey, which not only continues to improve in racing, but also becomes sharper. He had a good grip despite a good initial gallop when he won at Sandown last time, the son of Ulysses was a pretty smart winner at a good time despite being hampered at a crucial moment mid-stretch.

The timing of that meet, for the grade, was also good and after just three races the David Menuisier-trained recluse should have more to offer. I just hope he doesn’t fall too far behind because of the wide draw he has.

put on

3.00 Trade Nation London Gold Cup Handicap

Over time, a rating of 88 could underestimate the capabilities of put on, who is still a difficult horse to handle after three races. He is another who made a good seasonal debut when trainer Ralph Beckett’s horses were not winning, although they ran well.

That effort came at Windsor 33 days ago against Group 1-bred Harper’s Ferry (Lope De Vega x Talent), who had already had one race and was much better suited to the tactical nature of how the Windsor race unfolded.

The race produced a final speed percentage of 113.33, with a tailwind pushing them home, and although Poniros was well placed in that gallop, his breeding suggests that a much stricter examination of his stamina is needed to draw the best of him.

As a son of Golden Horn, it may take 12 furlongs to get the best out of this unassuming three-year-old, but his prominent racing style with a good gallop probably means we should see a better version of him. on Saturday.

You can get good results at a double-figure price and you are entitled in every way.

Hello real

3.35 Bets On Shaqab Lockinge (Group One)

For a variety of reasons, you may be concerned about the two stylish market leaders in Lockinge. Inspiral returns as a five-year-old mare without a race under her belt, although she is very fresh, but the biggest concern, potentially, is her wider draw at one.

Frankel’s daughter has had trouble in goal in the past, and this kind of draw could very well bring that bad habit back into play. In a race full of pace, this field could pull away from her in the early stages, giving her a mountain to climb.

At the same time, a strong pace ahead, with his fellow owner and stablemate. potentially helping in that regard, one, it will break the horses off the pace and two, it will soften Big Rock up front.

Big Rock himself has questions to answer about turning the tide when having his first race for a new trainer and so this race could be worth taking a hit on a horse at a big price. A step forward Hello royal.

Second in the 2000 Guineas last year and third in the 2000 Irish Guineas, this son of Kodiac has good form in the best races over a mile, enough to suggest he should not have a 50/1 chance. Kevin Ryan’s prisoner is a galloping miler type of runner so the likely solid pace will suit him and we know he is fit after a race this year.

If Ryan Moore, riding him for the second time, can ration his speed well, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see him make the frame, especially if one or two of the market leaders aren’t up to the task.

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